As I sit down to analyze the upcoming UAAP Season 85 basketball tournament, I can't help but feel the electric anticipation building across Philippine collegiate sports. Having followed UAAP basketball for over a decade, I've witnessed how these tournaments often produce future professional stars, which brings me to that curious situation with Bella Belen missing the PVL Rookie Draft Combine. While women's volleyball operates in a different sphere, the timing speaks volumes about how collegiate athletes today navigate multiple opportunities, something that directly impacts how we should view the upcoming basketball season's roster stability and championship prospects.
The complete schedule for UAAP Season 85 spans from September 2023 to May 2024, featuring 14 elimination round games per team before the traditional Final Four format. What strikes me as particularly interesting is the scheduling of double-header weekends at the Mall of Asia Arena and Smart Araneta Coliseum, with 56 total elimination games scheduled before the playoffs. I've always believed that the true test of championship mettle comes during these back-to-back games, where depth and conditioning separate contenders from pretenders. The opening weekend features what I'm calling the "Marquee Sunday" with Ateneo facing UP in a championship rematch that's likely to draw over 18,000 spectators based on my observations of previous seasons.
Looking at team rosters, the defending champions UP Fighting Maroons return with what I consider the most complete lineup, anchored by reigning MVP Malick Diouf and supported by JD Cagulangan's clutch gene. Having watched Diouf develop over three seasons, I'm convinced he's the most dominant big man in recent UAAP memory, averaging what I recall as 15.2 points and 11.8 rebounds last season. The Blue Eagles, meanwhile, have reloaded with what my sources indicate is their strongest recruiting class since the Thirdy Ravena era, including two players from the NBTC Top 10. My personal dark horse remains the La Salle Green Archers, whose off-season training I've been hearing glowing reports about - their new coach has implemented what multiple insiders describe as "the most innovative defensive system" we've seen in years.
The situation with Bella Belen skipping the PVL combine actually provides an interesting parallel to basketball roster considerations. In my analysis, the uncertainty surrounding athletes potentially exploring professional opportunities mid-collegiate career adds another layer to championship predictions. I've noticed at least three potential first-round PBA draft picks playing their final UAAP season, which creates both motivation and distraction factors that are impossible to quantify but crucial to consider.
My championship prediction, which I'll admit comes with some personal bias having followed this program's rebuild, has UP repeating as champions against Ateneo in a three-game finals series that goes down to the final possession. The Fighting Maroons have what I count as seven players with finals experience returning, compared to Ateneo's three, and in pressure situations, that disparity becomes magnified. The third spot in my projected Final Four goes to La Salle, with UE grabbing the fourth seed behind what I believe will be a breakout season for their point guard.
What many analysts overlook, in my experience, is how the mid-season break affects team dynamics. The holiday hiatus from November to January often transforms teams completely - I've seen struggling squads come back championship-caliber and top teams unravel during this period. The team that best utilizes this break typically gains the momentum needed for the final push, something that statistics rarely capture but seasoned observers like myself have come to recognize as pivotal.
The depth of talent this season surpasses anything I've witnessed since Season 80, with what I estimate as 12 legitimate pro prospects spread across eight teams. This parity makes every game matter in ways that casual fans might underestimate. Having attended multiple team practices this preseason, I can confidently say the gap between the top six teams is narrower than the media portrays, which sets up what could be the most competitive UAAP season in recent memory.
As we approach tip-off, the convergence of veteran leadership and emerging talent creates the perfect storm for unforgettable basketball. While my predictions might draw disagreement from traditional powerhouses' supporters, they're grounded in what I've observed developing over the past two seasons. The beauty of UAAP basketball lies in its unpredictability, but this year feels different - we're witnessing what I believe will become the new golden era of Philippine collegiate basketball, where every game could realistically swing either way and where future professional stars first capture our imagination.
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